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November 14, 2019

Economic analysis says that [Scotland leaving the customs union and single market] will cost every person in Scotland £1,600.

Truthfullness 3 / 5

Fact checked by: fullfact


This claim is based on analysis carried out before Boris Johnson’s deal, though they did repeat the anaysis in October 2019.

It’s based on a 6% lower GDP in 2030. Which means the economy would grow 6% slower, meaning that each person would be £1,600 less well off.

But it is dependant on so many factors. For example the amount of welfare spending and individuals persons circumstances.

Do you agree this deserves 3 / 5 for truthfullness?

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